Modeling climate change effects on winter ski tourism in Andorra
Identifieur interne : 001713 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001712; suivant : 001714Modeling climate change effects on winter ski tourism in Andorra
Auteurs : Marc Pons-Pons [Espagne, Andorre, Canada] ; Peter A. Johnson [Canada] ; Marti Rosas-Casals [Espagne] ; Barbara Sureda [Espagne] ; Eric Jover [Andorre]Source :
- Climate research [ 0936-577X ] ; 2013.
Descripteurs français
- Pascal (Inist)
- Wicri :
- geographic : Andorre.
- topic : Changement climatique, Tourisme.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
Abstract
Mountain regions have been identified as especially vulnerable areas to climate change. Changes in snowfall, glacier retreat and shifts in levels and distribution of biodiversity are some examples of the sensitivity of mountain ecosystems. Moreover, in many mountain economies, reliable snow cover plays a key role as an important resource for the winter tourism industry, the main income source and driving force of local development in such regions. This study presents a georeferenced agent-based model to analyze the climate change impacts on the ski industry in Andorra and the effect of snowmaking as future adaptation strategy. We project a reduction in ski season length and a drop in the number of skiers, especially in the lowest elevation ski resort of this region. Moreover, this work indicates that snowmaking cannot completely solve the problem of ensuring snow cover at low elevation ski resorts, and should only be considered as a suitable short-term strategy, rather than as a sustainable long-term adaptation strategy. The resulting model can be used as a planning support tool to help local stakeholders understand the vulnerability and potential impacts of climate change, and designing and developing appropriate sustainable adaptation strategies to future climate variability.
Affiliations:
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Johnson</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><inist:fA14 i1="03"><s1>Department of Geography, McGill University, 805 Sherbrooke Street West Montreal</s1><s2>Quebec H3A 2K6</s2><s3>CAN</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>2 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Canada</country><wicri:noRegion>Quebec H3A 2K6</wicri:noRegion><orgName type="university">Université McGill</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Montréal</settlement><region type="state">Québec</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Rosas Casals, Marti" sort="Rosas Casals, Marti" uniqKey="Rosas Casals M" first="Marti" last="Rosas-Casals">Marti Rosas-Casals</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Sustainability Measurement and Modeling Lab (SUMMLab), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC), EET-Campus Terrassa</s1><s2>08222 Barcelona</s2><s3>ESP</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>3 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Espagne</country><placeName><region nuts="2" type="communauté">Catalogne</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="2"><inist:fA14 i1="04"><s1>ICREA-Complex Systems Lab, Universitat Pompeu Fabra -PRBB, Dr. Aiguader 88</s1><s2>08003 Barcelona</s2><s3>ESP</s3><sZ>3 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Espagne</country><placeName><region nuts="2" type="communauté">Catalogne</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sureda, Barbara" sort="Sureda, Barbara" uniqKey="Sureda B" first="Barbara" last="Sureda">Barbara Sureda</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><inist:fA14 i1="01"><s1>Sustainability Measurement and Modeling Lab (SUMMLab), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC), EET-Campus Terrassa</s1><s2>08222 Barcelona</s2><s3>ESP</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>3 aut.</sZ><sZ>4 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Espagne</country><placeName><region nuts="2" type="communauté">Catalogne</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Jover, Eric" sort="Jover, Eric" uniqKey="Jover E" first="Eric" last="Jover">Eric Jover</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><inist:fA14 i1="02"><s1>Observatori de la Sostenibilitat d'Andorra (OBSA), Placa de la Germandat 7</s1><s2>AD600 Sant Julià de Lòria</s2><s3>AND</s3><sZ>1 aut.</sZ><sZ>5 aut.</sZ></inist:fA14><country>Andorre</country><wicri:noRegion>AD600 Sant Julià de Lòria</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j" type="main">Climate research</title><title level="j" type="abbreviated">Clim. res.</title><idno type="ISSN">0936-577X</idno><imprint><date when="2013">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc><seriesStmt><title level="j" type="main">Climate research</title><title level="j" type="abbreviated">Clim. res.</title><idno type="ISSN">0936-577X</idno></seriesStmt></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Andorra</term><term>Impact study</term><term>Modeling</term><term>Skiing</term><term>Winter</term><term>adaptation</term><term>climate change</term><term>economic impacts</term><term>mountains</term><term>tourism</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Pascal" xml:lang="fr"><term>Etude impact</term><term>Massif montagneux</term><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Adaptation</term><term>Modélisation</term><term>Tourisme</term><term>Ski</term><term>Hiver</term><term>Impact économique</term><term>Andorre</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Andorre</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="topic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Changement climatique</term><term>Tourisme</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Mountain regions have been identified as especially vulnerable areas to climate change. Changes in snowfall, glacier retreat and shifts in levels and distribution of biodiversity are some examples of the sensitivity of mountain ecosystems. Moreover, in many mountain economies, reliable snow cover plays a key role as an important resource for the winter tourism industry, the main income source and driving force of local development in such regions. This study presents a georeferenced agent-based model to analyze the climate change impacts on the ski industry in Andorra and the effect of snowmaking as future adaptation strategy. We project a reduction in ski season length and a drop in the number of skiers, especially in the lowest elevation ski resort of this region. Moreover, this work indicates that snowmaking cannot completely solve the problem of ensuring snow cover at low elevation ski resorts, and should only be considered as a suitable short-term strategy, rather than as a sustainable long-term adaptation strategy. The resulting model can be used as a planning support tool to help local stakeholders understand the vulnerability and potential impacts of climate change, and designing and developing appropriate sustainable adaptation strategies to future climate variability.</div></front></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Andorre</li><li>Canada</li><li>Espagne</li></country><region><li>Catalogne</li><li>Québec</li></region><settlement><li>Montréal</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université McGill</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="Espagne"><region name="Catalogne"><name sortKey="Pons Pons, Marc" sort="Pons Pons, Marc" uniqKey="Pons Pons M" first="Marc" last="Pons-Pons">Marc Pons-Pons</name></region><name sortKey="Rosas Casals, Marti" sort="Rosas Casals, Marti" uniqKey="Rosas Casals M" first="Marti" last="Rosas-Casals">Marti Rosas-Casals</name><name sortKey="Rosas Casals, Marti" sort="Rosas Casals, Marti" uniqKey="Rosas Casals M" first="Marti" last="Rosas-Casals">Marti Rosas-Casals</name><name sortKey="Sureda, Barbara" sort="Sureda, Barbara" uniqKey="Sureda B" first="Barbara" last="Sureda">Barbara Sureda</name></country><country name="Andorre"><noRegion><name sortKey="Pons Pons, Marc" sort="Pons Pons, Marc" uniqKey="Pons Pons M" first="Marc" last="Pons-Pons">Marc Pons-Pons</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Jover, Eric" sort="Jover, Eric" uniqKey="Jover E" first="Eric" last="Jover">Eric Jover</name></country><country name="Canada"><region name="Québec"><name sortKey="Pons Pons, Marc" sort="Pons Pons, Marc" uniqKey="Pons Pons M" first="Marc" last="Pons-Pons">Marc Pons-Pons</name></region><name sortKey="Johnson, Peter A" sort="Johnson, Peter A" uniqKey="Johnson P" first="Peter A." last="Johnson">Peter A. Johnson</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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